Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Super Tuesday --

--is my Super Bowl Sunday!


bryan said...

But really, with proportional representation, Super Tuesday winds up being quite anti-climatic. So Hillary wins NY, but with Obama's larger win in IL, it seems to be a wash delegate wise. However, we won't know until Friday or even Monday how the delegates finally shake out.

One interesting think shaping up at this point though seems to be the prospect that one candidate may win the pledged (read, elected) delegate vote while the other will win the nomination with the superdelegates (read, unelected party bosses). This will result in real turmoil at the convention. The only thing that would make it more interesting (in a car wreck kind of way) is if the candidate who wins because of superdelegates is Hillary. \
At that point, they will try desperately to seat the delegates from MI and FL, even though that would not only change the rules of the game after the game had started but reward Hillary for violating the pledge she signed not to campaign in these states. This would be met with fierce resistance, but there would be a strong desire to have her win the pledged vote, so it would most likely take place.
So many fun situations lining up.

Jenny Stromer-Galley said...

Hi Bryan,

You're assessment is quite right.

I personally do not think the delegates in MI and FL should be seated. I don't think it's fair to the candidates who didn't campaign or even have their names on the ballot! But, I don't know if my sense of justice squares with the concern others have that voters in FL and MI on the democratic side were disenfranchised. Voters in those states have been quite confused as to whether their vote is going to "count" or not.

In any event, I also agree that if Hillary wins by virtue of the superdelegates, we're going to see a painfully fractured party. She will have incredible work to do to try to reunite.

I must confess, though, that I'm excited by the prospect of a meaningful convention after 2 decades of canned shows.